Projecting Mike Fonotenot

Should Fontenot play next to Ryan Theriot at the start of 2010?

Before the 2009 season, I was hoping the Cubs would give the second base job to Mike Fontenot.  I even said that he was a “poor man’s Chase Utley” as he posted a .909 OPS and a .395 wOBA.  In addition to his stellar bat, Fontenot put up a 18.1 UZR/150 in 2008.  After spending a lot of time in the minors, it looked like the “Little Bulldog” was ready for a starting gig.

Jim Hendry rewarded Fontenot with the starting job, but brought in Aaron Miles just in case.  In May, Aramis Ramirez dislocated his shoulder, forcing him to miss almost two months.  The Cubs didn’t have a backup for Ramirez, so Fontenot shifted over to third.  Once the Cubs brought in Jake Fox, Fontenot was shifted all over the infield, often not knowing when or where he was going to play.

Was this an excuse for his poor play in 2009?  I think it had something to do with it, and although we cannot completely attribute his near 100 point drop in wOBA (.395 to .296) to the extra positions, it was a factor.  Fontenot lost over 200 points in OPS, and became your replacement level player at second base.  The one thing that never left was Fontenot’s defense.  He was an average defender at third base, but was above average at second.   Continue reading

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Projecting Mike Cameron

Could Cameron bring some consistency to the Cubs in 2010?

Per the Chicago Sun-Times , the Chicago Cubs are interested in center fielder Mike Cameron as soon as the Milton Bradley trade goes through.

Cameron, 37, wants to play for a contender, and his connection with former Lou Piniella remains strong.

”I love the guy,” Piniella said. ”Mike is somebody we’ve talked about. I’m looking forward to Sunday, [when team officials meet before] the meetings over in Indianapolis.” Continue reading

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2010 MLB Projections

While preparing for careers out of school, students do different things.  Advertising majors may make a portfolio of their ideas and skills.  Business majors keep items from an internship to show what they have learned.  Doctors and nurses study for years before becoming professionals.

In a last ditch attempt to work in a MLB front office, I have decided to put together a portfolio of sorts.  I have created a few spreadsheets that would show how much value a certain player has.  I will do this on a team-by-team basis, but if I see something of interest, I will post it here as an article.  I hope to have a Google spreadsheet done by the time spring training starts.  If I’m correct, I hope to have a job in baseball one day.  If I’m totally off, at least I learned a little about Excel.

To show value, I will produce something very similar to FanGraphs player pages with a few twists in formulas.  Value will be based on wOBA and Runs Above Average, which translates to Wins Above Average and then to a dollar value for everyone to understand.

I will not exactly be copying FanGraphs formula.  I have reversed engineered their site to my spreadsheet.  In my theoretical season, there will be no pinch hitters because that adjusts the positional value of each player.  Also, I have made hit by pitches (HBP) and walks (BB) of equal importance in wOBA, because a HBP and BB have the same result and shouldn’t be differentiated.  In wOBA, I have also removed reaching base due to an error.  Those are pointless to predict and are luck based.  A player should not be valued based to luck.

I will be posting something close to everyday based on the progress I make.  My first projection is for Kosuke Fukudome, and that should be posted tomorrow.

I’m goin’ in.

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Old Spice Preview: Florida State Seminoles

Can the Golden Eagles top the Seminoles in the championship of the Old Spice Classic?

Marquette vs. Florida State – Old Spice Classic Championship – 6:30 CT ESPN2

Leonard Hamilton knows that FSU Basketball is synonymous  with potential, and the same can be said about his roster this year.

After finally breaking through and making the NCAA tournament last year, the Seminoles lost leading scorer and ACC Defensive player of the year Toney Douglas.  Now, Hamilton and his strong recruiting class have a lot to work to do to get back to the tournament.

The 2009-10 Seminoles have shown their youth in the Old Spice Classic thus far.  Hamilton’s crew has turned the ball over 40 times in two games which can be attributed to heavy defensive pressure from both Iona and Alabama.  FSU also does not have a true point guard, and that could hurt down the stretch.

The Golden Eagles will put the same pressure on as Alabama, even some full court man-to-man.  This will cause the inexperienced guards of Florida State to make some  mistakes, leading to transition buckets for MU. Continue reading

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Chris Otule Out For Season

Another season, another Marquette leg injury. Chris Otule appears to be lost for the remainder of his sophomore season. He should be able to redshirt.

Per Todd Rosiak of the Journal Sentinel, Marquette sophomore center Chris Otule has fractured his foot in practice Monday night and will miss the remainder of the year.

It’s a big blow to the Golden Eagles chances this year, but an even bigger blow to the 6’10” big man.

“We are extremely hurt for Chris,” coach Buzz Williams said.  “His development since the end of last season has been extraordinary. He has grown as a person and that was reflective in who he was becoming as a player. His game and confidence were growing daily, and though his stats do not reveal it, there was a residual positive impact for what he was giving our team on both ends of the floor.” Continue reading

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Old Spice Preview: Xavier Musketeers

 

The Marquette Golden Eagles open up the Old Spice Classic vs. Xavier on Thanksgiving day in Orlando, Florida.

Xavier comes into 2009-2010 with a lot of newcomers. Derrick Brown left early for the NBA, BJ Raymond and CJ Anderson graduated and Sean Miller left for Arizona.

 

But the scrappy Jesuit school in Cincinnati often finds a way to win games.  They have dealt with roster changes since winning 30 games in 2006, yet are always close to the top of the A-10, and always making the NCAA tournament.

After a run in the tournament last year, Chris Mack and his squad are poised for another run.  Their roster may not have a lot of household names, but they will be dancing in March. Continue reading

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Marquette Soars Over UMES 86-60

Lazar Hayward tears down the rim Tuesday night

The Marquette Golden Eagles flew higher than the UMES Hawks in a 86-60 victory Tuesday night at the Bradley Center.

Marquette was led by Lazar Hayward and his career-high 28 points.  18 of those points came in the second half, as the Golden Eagles pulled away.

“I’m happy for him [on the career-high],” head coach Buzz Williams said.  ”We don’t need Lazar to score like that to win, but we need him to play like that.”

Hayward logged 30 minutes, and it was due to him staying out of foul trouble.

“We have to figure out a way to keep him and [Jimmy] Butler out of foul trouble in order to be successful,” Williams said. Continue reading

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Cubs linked to Granderson

Will Granderson be in a Cubs uniform in 2010?

Cubs’ GM Jim Hendry “absolutely” is interested in offering a prospect-heavy package to the Tigers for Curtis Granderson according to a source close to the team, says Phil Rogers of The Chicago Tribune.

This comes after the Tigers gave enough plate appearances to Magglio Ordonez for his $18M option to vest.  The Tigers are in serious financial trouble, and Granderson and his $5.5M salary could be moved.

I wrote earlier this year about how I thought the Tigers would be a team that could be good for a long time.  Granderson has starred for them, being extremely productive especially relative to his salary.

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Marquette’s Broadway Joe

Fulce looks to play a critical role for the Golden Eagles this season.

Fulce looks to play a critical role for the Golden Eagles this season.

This article can also be found at Marquette Hoops.

In the weeks leading up to the first game of the season, most college basketball players and coaches shy away from making predictions or guarantees.

But then there’s Joe Fulce.

Two days before Marquette Madness, Fulce has guaranteed a title: The 2009 Dunk Contest championship.

“The dunk contest will be fun this year because I’m going to win it!” Fulce laughed.  “I’m representing for the lean, long, dunk machines.”

Obviously the season is more important than a dunk contest for the fans, but with his prediction, Fulce is telling everyone that he is healthy for the 2009-10 season. Continue reading

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Second Base Options?

Should the Cubs make a move for Dan Uggla for 2010 and beyond?

Should the Cubs make a move for Dan Uggla for 2010 and beyond?

 As the Cubs look to 2010, they have four internal options at second base: Jeff Baker, Mike Fontenot, Andres Blanco and Starlin Castro.  Can the Cubs go into 2010 with any of those guys?

I’ve examined Mike Fontenot about two weeks ago, and since then, we’ve heard that he may be dealt in the offseason.  It’s difficult to put him into the plans for 2010 with his poor performance last year. 

Baker had a great year, but it was aided by a high BABIP.  Can he sustain his performance?  Probably not, and he might be better served for the utility role that Mark DeRosa was supposed to play during his time in Chicago. 

That leaves Andres Blanco as the final internal option.  We all know about the gold glove potential from Blanco, but he can’t hit enough to be a major league starter. 

So who are the external options?  The one that would be the cheapest in terms of salary is Dan Uggla. 

Continue reading

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